HOW IT WORKS·ENDO·EXO·COT·FINAL

What is G10Grid?

Four forces move every G10 currency pair at once. G10Grid scores all four, converges them into one verdict per pair — and stamps every high-conviction call in public, before it plays out.

01 · The problem

You’re trading G10 FX against people with a process.

Institutions run deep fundamental desks. Most retail traders get a Telegram group and a gut feeling. Every G10 pair is pushed by four forces at the same time — a country’s domestic economic health, cross-border capital flow, central-bank rate paths, and where the smart money is already positioned.

Nobody holds all of that in their head. So the usual retail answer is to chase headlines and call it analysis.

G10Grid is the desk you were never allowed to have. Here’s exactly how it works — no black box.

02 · One pair, end to end

From four raw scores to one verdict.

Here is the exact path the engine walks for a single pair. Same logic runs on roughly 100 G10 pairs, every week.

ENDO

Score each currency’s domestic health.

Inflation, rates, employment, money supply, leading indicators and sovereign risk — normalized into one number per currency. Higher = more inflationary = structurally weaker (PPP).

AUD ENDO +112 → inflationary, structurally weak   |   CAD ENDO −40 → disinflationary, firm
EXO

Measure the cross-currency pull.

Real rate differentials, terms of trade, balance of payments and PPP fair-value gaps — the forces dragging capital between the two currencies.

AUD/CAD EXO → rate diff, ToT and BoP all lean short AUD/CAD  ✓ agrees with ENDO → Convergent
COT

Check what the smart money is doing.

The weekly CFTC report: leveraged-fund net positioning, Z-scores, crowding vs capitulation. A context layer — it tells you whether you’re early or late, not whether to trade.

AUD COT → lev funds net short, Z −1.8 → positioning already leaving, not crowded against us
FINAL

Converge into one verdict.

The FINAL engine weighs every layer into a single conviction tier, a direction and a hold horizon — each with a transparent reason list.

FINAL verdict
AUD/CAD — SHORT · CORE
confluence 16 · hold 2–6 weeks · reasons: ENDO–EXO Convergent, COT supportive, ToT tailwind

Illustration of the process — not a live call. The Desk runs this on every G10 pair, refreshed weekly.

03 · The three lenses

Three independent reads. Scored separately.

Each lens answers one plain question. We score them in isolation, then let them agree or disagree on their own.

ENDO · Endogenous

Is the country’s own economy weakening its currency?

Inflation, rates, employment, money supply, leading indicators, sovereign risk — aggregated into one score per currency. Higher = more inflationary = structurally weaker over the long run (purchasing-power parity).

EXO · Exogenous

What’s pulling capital between currencies?

Interest-rate parity, terms of trade, balance of payments, real PPP, carry — scored across pairs. When ENDO and EXO agree, the pair is Convergent — the rarest, highest-conviction setups in the framework.

COT · Positioning

What is the smart money actually doing?

CFTC Commitments of Traders — leveraged-fund net positioning, percentile Z-scores, crowd and capitulation flags. A context layer, not a signal: it tells you if the room is already on the trade, or if you’re early.

04 · One verdict

Confluence over guesswork. Six tiers.

The FINAL engine converges every layer — Scores, Convergence, Carry, BoP, IRP, RPPP, COT, Sentiment, Seasonality, Sharpe — into a single per-pair conviction tier, with a direction, a hold horizon and a reason list for every verdict. You see the math, you see the score, you decide the trade.

A+ CORE TACTICAL POSITION WATCHLIST STAND DOWN
05 · Where the data comes from

Free, public, auditable — and current.

Every score is built from open public sources and refreshed weekly. Nothing proprietary you can’t check, nothing stale sitting six months behind the market.

OECD macro & prices CFTC COT positioning TradingEconomics CPI / core Yahoo Finance FX & rates National stats offices
06 · The method

The institutional framework, rebuilt for retail.

G10Grid implements the global-macro fundamental tradition taught in the ITPM / PFTM curriculum — the discretionary FX process professional desks run — distilled into a system a trader can run from a laptop.

It is an independent implementation, not affiliated with or endorsed by ITPM, and it publishes no proprietary curriculum. The method is the lineage; the edge we claim is rigor and transparency, not a secret formula.

07 · What this is not
  • Not a signals group. We don’t sell trade alerts to copy blindly. You see the scoring and decide your own trade.
  • No promised returns. No “guaranteed pips,” no P&L screenshots. Anyone who promises that is selling you something.
  • The public track record is young. We started stamping calls recently — judge it as it grows, in the open.
  • We don’t pretend our research is finished. In our own backtests, COT extremes behaved as momentum, not contrarian — so we build that into the read instead of hiding it.
  • What you do get: a rigorous, repeatable way to rank the G10 on fundamentals — and a public scorecard you can audit, losers included.
08 · The public scorecard

The receipts are the product.

Every A+ and CORE verdict is auto-captured the moment it scores, then price-stamped every Friday until it retires. Win rate, hold time and tier consistency are computed live from that ledger — paid or not, anyone can audit them. No cherry-picking. No deleted losing trades.

See the whole case — before you take the trade.

Institutional FX fundamentals, scored and time-stamped in public. We show the losers too.

No credit card required for trial

Login

Welcome back — sign in to open the Desk.